Regional Climate Changes as the Factors of Impact on the Objects of Construction and Infrastructure

E. I. Khlebnikova, I. A. Sall’, and I. M. Shkol’nik

Considered are the changes in the climate impact on the objects of construction and infrastructure on the territory of Russia. The focus is on the changes in the characteristics of daily air temperature and precipitation expected by the middle of the 21st century, which are of high importance in terms of the building design. The assessment of expected changes is based on the results of ensemble computations using the MGO gobal climate model and the embedded regional model (MGO RCM) with the horizontal resolution of 25 km. Along with the ensemble-averaged estimates of changes in applied climate parameters, an uncertainty of estimates associated with the natural climate variability is analyzed using the data of numerical experiments. The attention is drawn to the most significant effects of climate changes which should be taken into account when developing the measures for adapting the construction sector in Russia.