Estimation of the Quality of Atmospheric Dynamics Forecasting in the Siberian Region Using the WRF-ARW Mesoscale Model

Yu. V. Martynova, R. B. Zaripov, V. N. Krupchatnikov, and A. P. Petrov

Considered is the application of the WRF-ARW atmospheric model to computing weather forecasts for the Siberian region. Provided are some verification scores of the WRF-ARW as compared with those of the NCEP global weather model (USA). The WRF-ARW forecasts for the European part of Russia are briefly considered. The verification scores demonstrate that WRF forecasts are useful during the warm season whereas freely distributed NCEP forecasts have some advantages during the cold season. Described is the software complex used in the West Siberian Territorial Administration for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring and intended for modeling the atmospheric dynamics over the Siberian region which is based on WRF-ARW. Given is a description of the methodology and specific features of the program realization of the complex.

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