ECONOMIC VALUE ESTIMATE OF HYDRODYNAMIC ENSEMBLE FORECASTS USING PROBABILISTIC SKILL SCORES

A. V. Murav'ev and I. A. Kulikova

Probabilistic skill scores of ensembles are used for assessing user's mean benefits in using an ensemble of forecasts rather than a single forecast. As an example of a verification system, a European anticyclone simulation under different initial and boundary conditions of winter 2003 is examined.

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