PROGNOSTIC MODEL OF LONG-TERM AIR TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY OVER THE BLACK SEA

V. B. Titov

A prognostic model is developed based on the analysis of secular series of mean monthly air temperature at 13 observation stations of the Black Sea coast. Estimation of the calculation accuracy has shown that the long-term air temperature variability is satisfactorily reproduced by the model. The outlook is given for the atmospheric thermal conditions over the Black Sea water area until 2050.

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