Estimation of Drought-related Yield Loss Using the Dynamic Statistical Model of Crop Productivity Forecasting

A. D. Kleshchenko, V. M. Lebedeva, T. A. Goncharova, T. A. Naidina, and N. M. Shklyaeva

The methodological approach is proposed to the estimation of drought-related crop yield loss based on the dynamic statistical model of crop productivity forecasting. The obtained results agree well with the total actual crop yield loss. The approach under consideration is the first stage of creation of operational assessment of expected loss.